Dollar on the front foot this morning
01.07.2026 Daily blogJune proved to be a positive month for the dollar which chalked up solid gains, including a 2.5 cents (or 2%) advance against the euro, propelled higher by a “hawkish” turn by the Fed during the course of the month. Some solid economic data and higher US bond yields are helping to underpin the US […]
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Weekly Round Up
Payrolls data still point to heathy pace of Irish job creation
This morning’s CSO data, showing another 0.5% gain in employee numbers in the first four months of 2026, to 2.6 million in April, are a reassuring sign that a healthy pace of job creation has been sustained this year. Construction (+4.5%), health (+4%), public administration (+3.4%) and professional/scientific (+2.8%) were among the fastest-growing sectors, while […]
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Global Watch
Global Watch April 2026
The conflict in the Middle East has triggered a sharp rise in energy prices. Inflation will be higher and economic growth lower as a result, though to what extent will ultimately depend on how long energy supplies through the Strait of Hormuz remain disrupted. While this leaves central banks facing a difficult balancing act, the […]
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Ireland Outlook
Ireland Outlook – April 2026
New Irish Economic Forecasts We have revised down our forecast for Irish GDP growth to 1.6% in 2026, followed by 3.6% in 2027. A key reason is that recent data suggest temporary front-running of US tariffs last year (now unwinding) played a stronger role in the 9.7% growth of exports in 2025. However, events in […]
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Ireland Infographic
Ireland Infographic – April 2026
We expect GDP will expand by 1.6% in 2026 and 3.6% in 2027. View the Ireland Infographic Here: Bank of Ireland Ireland Infographic April 2026
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UK Outlook
UK Outlook – May 2026
Growth Outlook Deteriorates Amid Energy Shock We have reduced our growth forecasts due to the negative impact of the US-Iran conflict and higher energy prices on the UK economy. We now expect GDP growth of 0.8% this year and 1.0% next year (versus 1.1% and 1.4% previously). Inflation, which had been easing, now looks set […]
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UK Infographic
UK Infographic – May 2026
We expect that UK GDP will grow by 0.8% in 2026 and 1.0% in 2027. Download the UK Infographic in Full Here: Bank of Ireland UK Infographic May 2026