Economic Research Unit

The Economic Research Unit (ERU) provides commentary and analysis of economic and market events in Ireland, the UK, the Euro Area and US.

The ERU prepares regular reports on the global, UK and Irish economies. Our latest publications are available for download here.

If you would like to get in touch, you can contact the team on economics@boi.com.

 

Oil prices pop higher amid US-Iran attacks

13.07.2026 Daily blog

Markets are under pressure at the start of play today amid continuing US-Iran hostilities over the weekend. The two sides are in dispute over whether the Strait of Hormuz is now effectively closed again, but in any case oil prices have popped higher with Brent crude up at about $79 per barrel this morning. In […]

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  • Weekly Round Up

    Bank of Ireland MyHome report shows fresh momentum in house prices

    This morning we have published the Bank of Ireland / MyHome report. Asking price inflation accelerated in Q2 2026, with the national median asking price rising 4.3% during the quarter to €395,000 and annual growth reaching 5.0%. This is somewhat surprising given anecdotal reports of slower house price growth, particularly in the capital. Dublin asking prices […]

  • Global Watch

    Global Watch April 2026

    The conflict in the Middle East has triggered a sharp rise in energy prices. Inflation will be higher and economic growth lower as a result, though to what extent will ultimately depend on how long energy supplies through the Strait of Hormuz remain disrupted. While this leaves central banks facing a difficult balancing act, the […]

  • Ireland Outlook

    Ireland Outlook – April 2026

    New Irish Economic Forecasts We have revised down our forecast for Irish GDP growth to 1.6% in 2026, followed by 3.6% in 2027. A key reason is that recent data suggest temporary front-running of US tariffs last year (now unwinding) played a stronger role in the 9.7% growth of exports in 2025. However, events in […]

  • Ireland Infographic

    Ireland Infographic – April 2026

    We expect GDP will expand by 1.6% in 2026 and 3.6% in 2027. View the Ireland Infographic Here: Bank of Ireland Ireland Infographic April 2026

  • UK Outlook

    UK Outlook – May 2026

    Growth Outlook Deteriorates Amid Energy Shock We have reduced our growth forecasts due to the negative impact of the US-Iran conflict and higher energy prices on the UK economy. We now expect GDP growth of 0.8% this year and 1.0% next year (versus 1.1% and 1.4% previously). Inflation, which had been easing, now looks set […]

  • UK Infographic

    UK Infographic – May 2026

    We expect that UK GDP will grow by 0.8% in 2026 and 1.0% in 2027. Download the UK Infographic in Full Here: Bank of Ireland UK Infographic May 2026

Meet the team

Conall Mac Coille, Group Chief Economist
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Michael Crowley, Senior Economist
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Patrick Mullane, Senior Economist
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Conn Creedon, Senior Economist
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Diane Woods, Economist/Operations Manager
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