Economic Research Unit

The Economic Research Unit (ERU) provides commentary and analysis of economic and market events in Ireland, the UK, the Euro Area and US.

The ERU prepares regular reports on the global, UK and Irish economies. Our latest publications are available for download here.

If you would like to get in touch, you can contact the team on economics@boi.com.

 

Dollar gives up post-US jobs data gains

04.07.2025 Daily blog

Yesterday’s employment report in the US was stronger than expected, triggering a paring back of Fed rate cut expectations and an increase in US bond yields. The dollar firmed in response to the data, but its gains were modest and short-lived. It is trading at around $1.1780 and $1.3670 against the euro and sterling respectively […]

Read more
  • Weekly Round Up

    Irish economy supported by buoyant government spending

    04.07.2025

    Yesterday’s exchequer returns show tax revenues remained robust in H1 2025, up 10.5% on the year to €45.9bn. Income taxes (4.3%), VAT (5.8%) and corporation taxes (7.4%) all exhibited substantial gains – and indicative of further growth in consumer spending and employment. Of course, corporate taxes remain potentially volatile with ten firms accounting for 57% of […]

    Read more
  • Global Watch

    Global Watch May 2025

    12.05.2025

    The new US administration’s trade policy has resulted in heightened uncertainty and declining consumer and business sentiment, while also denting investor confidence in US assets. Increased tariffs will result in lower growth and higher inflation in the US, and will dampen growth in the Euro area and UK economies. The Fed is likely to stay […]

    Read more
  • Ireland Outlook

    Ireland Outlook – May 2025

    02.05.2025

    New Ireland Economic Forecasts We have revised down our forecasts for Irish GDP growth to 3.5% in 2025 and 3.7% in 2026. This forecast entails softer, but still robust growth, due to the negative impact of uncertainty on consumer and investment spending. Also, the 10% baseline tariffs that now apply to 2-3% of Irish trade […]

    Read more
  • Ireland Infographic

    Ireland Infographic – May 2025

    02.05.2025

    We expect GDP will expand by 3.5% in 2025 and by 3.7% in 2026. Download the Ireland Infographic here: Bank of Ireland Ireland Infographic May 2025

    Read more
  • UK Outlook

    UK Outlook – May 2025

    16.05.2025

    Outlook deteriorates amid tariff uncertainty Since our last projections in January the global outlook has unfortunately deteriorated, due in the main to the trade policies of the Trump administration. With uncertainty high we have decided to reduce our 2025 and 2026 growth forecasts by 0.2% and 0.3% respectively, to 1.0% and 1.3%. Unemployment, which has […]

    Read more
  • UK Infographic

    UK Infographic – May 2025

    16.05.2025

    We expect UK GDP will increase by 1.0% in 2025 and 1.3% in 2026. Download the UK Infographic in full here: Bank of Ireland UK Infographic May 2025

    Read more

Meet the team

Conall Mac Coille, Group Chief Economist
Email

Michael Crowley, Senior Economist
Email

Patrick Mullane, Senior Economist
Email

Conn Creedon, Senior Economist
Email

Diane Woods, Economist/Operations Manager
Email