Economic Research Unit

The Economic Research Unit (ERU) provides commentary and analysis of economic and market events in Ireland, the UK, the Euro Area and US.

The ERU prepares regular reports on the global, UK and Irish economies. Our latest publications are available for download here.

If you would like to get in touch, you can contact the team on economics@boi.com.

 

Dollar on the front foot

22.11.2024 Daily blog

It may be a case of being wise after the event, but such is the nature of FX markets that it was almost inevitable the euro and sterling would re-visit their post-US elections lows against the dollar – of $1.0497 and $1.2597 respectively – at some stage. They broke down through these levels yesterday and […]

Read more
  • Weekly Round Up

    Irish employment up 1.4% in Q3 2024 to 2.78 million

    This week’s Labour Force Survey (LFS) indicates that employment grew rapidly, by 1.4% during Q3 2024 to a fresh record high of 2.78 million, up 3.7% on the year. This has been facilitated by net migration, driving a similar sharp 3.5% gain in the labour force over the same period. Hence, despite exceptional job creation […]

  • Global Watch

    Global Watch September 2024

    Inflation is in retreat in the main economies, with headline rates close to target, and central banks have begun to lower interest rates following the sharp tightening of monetary policy in 2022-2023. The ECB and Bank of England are among a number of central banks to have cut policy rates, while the Fed is certain […]

  • Ireland Outlook

    Ireland Outlook – September 2024

    New Irish Economic Forecasts Once again, erratic and volatile national accounts data for Q2 2024, have led us to revise down our forecasts for the growth of both GDP (-1%) and modified domestic demand (2.3%), but tell us little on the health of the economy. In contrast, the recent rapid pace of job creation means […]

  • Ireland Infographic

    Ireland Infographic – September 2024

    We expect GDP will contract by 1% in 2024, rebounding to 3.5% growth in 2025 and 4% in 2026. Download the Ireland Infographic here: Bank of Ireland Ireland Infographic September 2024

  • UK Outlook

    UK Outlook – September 2024

    Improved short term outlook, longer term challenges remain We have revised up our GDP forecast for this year to 1.1%, from 0.7% previously, on foot of the robust rebound in activity in the first half of the year. Our forecasts for 2025 and 2026 are unchanged at 1.4% and 1.6%, broadly in line with the […]

  • UK Infographic

    UK Infographic – September 2024

    We expect UK GDP will increase by 1.1% in 2024,  rising to 1.4% growth in 2025 and 1.6% in 2026. Download the UK Infographic here: Bank of Ireland UK Infographic September 2024

Meet the team

Conall Mac Coille, Group Chief Economist
Email

Michael Crowley, Senior Economist
Email

Patrick Mullane, Senior Economist
Email

Conn Creedon, Senior Economist
Email

Diane Woods, Economist/Operations Manager
Email