Economic Research Unit

The Economic Research Unit (ERU) provides commentary and analysis of economic and market events in Ireland, the UK, the Euro Area and US.

The ERU prepares regular reports on the global, UK and Irish economies. Our latest publications are available for download here.

If you would like to get in touch, you can contact the team on economics@boi.com.

 

Quiet enough in FX markets

09.09.2026 Daily blog

It remains fairly subdued in FX markets with limited enough price action. The euro and sterling are both marginally firmer against the dollar this morning, notwithstanding a continuing move higher in oil prices, trading at around $1.1640 and $1.3560 respectively, leaving EURGBP still sitting just below the £0.86 level. The yen is also a touch […]

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  • Weekly Round Up

    UK housing market still in a fragile place

    03.09.2026

    Tuesday’s Nationwide index showed UK house prices broadly flat in August, up just 1.6% yoy, and follows downbeat readings from Lloyds (+0.1%) and Rightmove (-1%) that point to flat or negative inflation. The most recent Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) survey indicated a net majority of UK estate agents reported falling prices (-30%) in […]

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  • Global Watch

    Global Watch April 2026

    23.04.2026

    The conflict in the Middle East has triggered a sharp rise in energy prices. Inflation will be higher and economic growth lower as a result, though to what extent will ultimately depend on how long energy supplies through the Strait of Hormuz remain disrupted. While this leaves central banks facing a difficult balancing act, the […]

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  • Ireland Outlook

    Ireland Outlook – July 2026

    22.07.2026

    New Irish Economic Forecasts We expect a contraction in GDP (-3%) in 2026 due to the surge in pharmaceutical exports last year, driven by fears of US tariffs, which has now unwound. Modified domestic demand is forecast to grow by 3.5% in 2026 and 2.5% in 2027, revised slightly upwards. Our lower forecast for CPI […]

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  • Ireland Infographic

    Ireland Infographic – July 2026

    24.07.2026

    We expect GDP will contract by 3.0% in 2026 before rebounding by 3.6% in 2027. We expect the domestic economy to expand in both years, with modified domestic demand increasing by 3.5% this year and 2.5% next year. View the Ireland Infographic Here: Bank of Ireland Ireland Infographic July 2026

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  • UK Outlook

    UK Outlook – July 2026

    24.07.2026

    New Prime Minister, Similar Outlook We have kept our outlook unchanged for the most part, with a few slight tweaks. The economy continues to face a number of headwinds, including ongoing geopolitical tensions and high/volatile global energy prices. We expect below trend GDP growth of 0.9% this year and 1.1% next year (both upgraded by […]

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  • UK Infographic

    UK Infographic – July 2026

    24.07.2026

    We expect that UK GDP will grow by 0.9% in 2026 and 1.1% in 2027. Download the UK Infographic in Full Here: Bank of Ireland UK Infographic July 2026

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Meet the team

Conall Mac Coille, Group Chief Economist
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Michael Crowley, Senior Economist
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Patrick Mullane, Senior Economist
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Conn Creedon, Senior Economist
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Diane Woods, Economist/Operations Manager
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