Economic Research Unit

The Economic Research Unit (ERU) provides commentary and analysis of economic and market events in Ireland, the UK, the Euro Area and US.

The ERU prepares regular reports on the global, UK and Irish economies. Our latest publications are available for download here.

If you would like to get in touch, you can contact the team on economics@boi.com.

 

US inflation data today

05.12.2025 Daily blog

The main currency pairs were confined to relatively narrow ranges yesterday. The euro traded between $1.1640 and $1.1680 against the dollar and is hovering around $1.1660 this morning. Sterling moved between $1.3325 and $1.3385 versus the US currency and is currently trading at about $1.3350. Having edged up to a high of £0.8720 during yesterday’s […]

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  • Weekly Round Up

    Irish GDP continues to outperform

    04.12.2025

    Irish GDP fell by just 0.3% in Q3 2025, leaving the annual increase at 10.8%. GDP surged in Q12025, driven by front running of tariffs and new pharmaceutical production facilities coming online, and it had been expected that GDP would fall back somewhat over the rest of 2025. However, multinational sector output and exports have […]

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  • Global Watch

    Global Watch September 2025

    11.09.2025

    After a nine-month hiatus, the Fed looks set to resume lowering interest rates as it balances upside risks to inflation and downside risks to employment. We expect it to cut by 25bps this month and by a further 75bps by mid-2026. With Euro area inflation back at target and the deposit rate in broadly neutral […]

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  • Ireland Outlook

    Ireland Outlook – October 2025

    23.10.2025

    Irish GDP to grow 10.7% in 2025 We have revised up our forecasts for Irish GDP growth to 10.7% in 2025 and 3.1% in 2026 (vs 8.1% and 3.2% previously) and also for modified domestic demand to 3.4% and 2.6% respectively. This is because recent data suggest the recent surge in Irish exports has also […]

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  • Ireland Infographic

    Ireland Infographic – October 2025

    23.10.2025

    We expect GDP will expand by 10.7% in 2025 and by 3.1% in 2026. Download the Ireland Infographic here: Bank of Ireland Ireland Infographic October 2025

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  • UK Outlook

    UK Outlook – September 2025

    19.09.2025

    Moderate growth amidst fiscal challenges. We have slightly adjusted our GDP growth projections, pushing up this year to 1.3% (from 1.1%) and reducing 2026 to 1.2% (from 1.3%). The upcoming Budget will require measures to reduce the deficit, weighing a bit on activity next year. We expect growth to pick up to 1.5% in 2027 […]

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  • UK Infographic

    UK Infographic September 2025

    19.09.2025

    We expect UK GDP will increase by 1.3% this year, 1.2% in 2026 and 1.5% in 2027. Download the UK infographic in full here: Bank of Ireland UK Infographic September 2025

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Meet the team

Conall Mac Coille, Group Chief Economist
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Michael Crowley, Senior Economist
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Patrick Mullane, Senior Economist
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Conn Creedon, Senior Economist
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Diane Woods, Economist/Operations Manager
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