Category: Ireland Outlook

Ireland Outlook – July 2025

New Ireland Economic Forecasts  Our new forecast is for 8.1% GDP growth in 2025, slowing to 3.2% in 2026. These upward revisions reflect the surge in exports and multinational output over the past 12-months, but also buoyant consumer and public spending. Our forecast for modified domestic demand has been revised up slightly to 2.9% growth […]

Ireland Outlook – May 2025

New Ireland Economic Forecasts We have revised down our forecasts for Irish GDP growth to 3.5% in 2025 and 3.7% in 2026. This forecast entails softer, but still robust growth, due to the negative impact of uncertainty on consumer and investment spending. Also, the 10% baseline tariffs that now apply to 2-3% of Irish trade […]

Ireland Outlook – January 2025

Irish GDP to expand 4% in 2025 We have revised up our projections for the growth of Irish GDP (4.3%), modified domestic demand (4%) and employment (2.2%) in 2025. This reflects data for H2 2024 indicating the economy had stronger momentum than we anticipated. Also, distortions from ‘contract manufacturing’ have dissipated so GDP should rise […]

Ireland Outlook – September 2024

New Irish Economic Forecasts Once again, erratic and volatile national accounts data for Q2 2024, have led us to revise down our forecasts for the growth of both GDP (-1%) and modified domestic demand (2.3%), but tell us little on the health of the economy. In contrast, the recent rapid pace of job creation means […]

Ireland Outlook – July 2024

We have revised down our forecasts for Irish GDP growth to 1.0% in 2024 (from 1.5% in our February Outlook) and to 3.9% in 2025 (from 4.0%). This downward revision reflects the multinational sector, where output continued to contract in early 2024 due to measurement distortions related to ‘contract manufacturing’. In contrast, indicators suggests the […]

Ireland Outlook – February 2024

Domestic economy growing despite headline GDP fall Read the Ireland Outlook in full here: Bank of Ireland Ireland Outlook February 2024    

Ireland Outlook – October 2023

More moderate growth ahead Read the Ireland Outlook in full here: Bank of Ireland Ireland Outlook October 2023

Ireland Outlook – July 2023

GDP masking true picture Read the Ireland Outlook in full here: Bank of Ireland Ireland Outlook July 2023

Ireland Outlook – May 2023

Domestic economy perking up Read the Ireland Outlook in full here: Bank of Ireland Ireland Outlook May 2023

Ireland Outlook – February 2023

Strong growth but domestic economy slowing. Download the Ireland Outlook in full here: Bank of Ireland Ireland Outlook February 2023