Author: Conn Creedon

Irish economy supported by buoyant government spending

Yesterday’s exchequer returns show tax revenues remained robust in H1 2025, up 10.5% on the year to €45.9bn. Income taxes (4.3%), VAT (5.8%) and corporation taxes (7.4%) all exhibited substantial gains – and indicative of further growth in consumer spending and employment. Of course, corporate taxes remain potentially volatile with ten firms accounting for 57% of […]

Ireland still seeing rapid employment growth

Yesterday’s Labour Force Survey (LFS) showed Irish employment rose by an exceptional 2.7% in 2024. This pace was sustained into the second half of the year, albeit with a choppy pattern of a 1.3% gain in Q3 2024, followed by 0.2% fall in Q4, which is most likely due to sampling volatility in the LFS. […]

Economics Weekly July 12th

This week’s MyHome report showed asking price inflation accelerating to 7.3% in Q2 2024, the fastest pace in two years. Furthermore,  residential transactions in June were being settled at 6% above the original asking price – indicative of intense competition amongst homebuyers. The fresh momentum in Irish house prices is being driven by the resilient […]

Economics Weekly July 5th

This week we published our new forecasts for the Irish economy. We revised down our forecasts for Irish GDP growth to 1.0% in 2024 (from 1.5% in our February Outlook) and to 3.9% in 2025, but reflecting well understood measurement distortions relating to the multinationals. In contrast, most indicators suggest the Irish economy expanded at […]

Ireland Infographic – July 2024

Irish economy to grow at healthy pace in 2024 Download the Ireland infographic here: Bank of Ireland Ireland Infographic July 2024

Ireland Outlook – July 2024

We have revised down our forecasts for Irish GDP growth to 1.0% in 2024 (from 1.5% in our February Outlook) and to 3.9% in 2025 (from 4.0%). This downward revision reflects the multinational sector, where output continued to contract in early 2024 due to measurement distortions related to ‘contract manufacturing’. In contrast, indicators suggests the […]

Euro up slightly in early trading following French election

The Euro is up a bit over 0.5% to 1.0770 versus the Dollar in this mornings trading. Sterling is also up slightly versus the Dollar, to about 1.2680, leaving the euro up about 0.3% against sterling to £0.849. The dollar versus Yen rate, the focus of much market attention of late was broadly unchanged since […]

Steady trading in FX and bond markets

The euro is not much changed versus the dollar over the past 24 hours, up very slightly to $1.070 from $1.068, still in the fairly tight range it has traded in for a couple of weeks. The first US presidential debate between President Biden and former President Tump was held overnight, but didn’t produce anything […]

UK Outlook June 2024

We have revised up our forecasts for GDP growth to 0.8% in 2024 (from 0.4% in our February Outlook) and to 1.4% in 2025 (from 1.2% previously), slightly above consensus expectations and Bank of England forecasts. We expect growth to accelerate further to 1.6% in 2026. The unemployment rate is likely to continue edging higher […]

Euro in narrow range

The recent ups and downs for the euro continued yesterday. The single currency was under pressure following the European elections two weeks ago that saw it drop from $1.09 to $1.07 to the dollar over the course of a week. In the 8 or so trading days since then, while it has come under pressure […]